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How to identify a Crypto Market Cycle
Identifying the phases of a crypto market cycle is often clearer in hindsight, but traders rely on various tools to anticipate potential scenarios. Reviewing these tools is essential for analyzing current market dynamics and predicting optimal opportunities based on historical patterns.
Bitcoin Halving Cycle Chart
Whether Bitcoin halvings initiate bull runs or simply lead to heightened expectations, their impact on crypto market psychology is undeniable. Historically, digital assets often enter a markup phase for about a year following a BTC halving before transitioning into a multi-year consolidation phase. While there's no guarantee that these halvings will lead to new all-time highs for cryptocurrencies, the influence of Bitcoin and the media buzz surrounding halvings cannot be overlooked.
Bitcoin Dominance Chart
Another useful metric for understanding market positioning is the Bitcoin dominance chart. This chart measures Bitcoin's market cap relative to the total crypto market cap, indicating the percentage of funds in the ecosystem allocated to BTC. Although Bitcoin often experiences volatile price movements, it is viewed as a more stable digital asset due to its longevity. A higher BTC dominance percentage typically suggests a cautious, risk-off atmosphere, indicative of markdowns or consolidation phases. Conversely, a declining dominance indicates a more risk-on environment, characterized by increased investment in speculative altcoins during markup or distribution phases.